Old-timer's day: Moyer, Phillies top Maddux, Padres
Baseball Betting Lines
08/16/2008 -
San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jamie Moyer was masterful through seven
frames of shutout ball and Pat Burrell hit the game-winning home run, as
Philadelphia edged San Diego 1-0 in the opener of a three-game set from PETCO
Park.
Moyer (11-7) allowed just three hits and two walks with two strikeouts to earn
a much-needed win for Philadelphia. The veteran lefty has surrendered three
runs or less in each of his last 13 trips to the mound. He is the first
Phillie to accomplish the feat since 1967, when Chris Short put together a
streak of 23 consecutive quality starts.
"I felt like I had command of pretty much everything tonight," Moyer said. "I
was able to get some quick outs and keep the pitch count down."
Greg Maddux (6-9) equaled Moyer's effort over seven innings, giving up just
the Burrell homer -- one of five hits -- with no walks and four strikeouts.
The crafty right-hander fell short of gaining his fourth straight victory
following a career-high 14 starts without one.
Philadelphia began this seven-game swing with a two-game edge on rival New
York for first place in the NL-East, but the club now finds itself one game
back of the Mets on the heels of a four-game sweep by the Dodgers. The Mets,
meanwhile, own a four-game winning streak.
San Diego continued its season-long struggle dropping three of the last four
to settle at 47-75, good for the second-worst record in the NL.
Moyer and Maddux were dealing from the outset with six innings of shutout
ball. The Phillies moved a runner to third with one away in the second while
the Padres did the same with two away in the sixth, but both came up empty.
"That was a pitching clinic," Padres manager Bud Black said. "That's two guys
who really know the game. Two tremendous students of the game."
Philadelphia scored the game's first and only run on a Burrell solo home run
to left-center in the seventh.
Philadelphia threatened again in the eighth as San Diego trotted out three
different pitchers in relief of Maddux to foil an inning that started with
Jayson Werth reaching on an error and Jimmy Rollins following with a single.
Wilfredo Ledezma was key in getting Chase Utley and Ryan Howard swinging to
escape unscathed.
Ryan Madson entered in the eighth and recorded the first two outs before Scott
Hairston laced a single to left. J.C. Romero took over and got Brian Giles to
ground out, ending the inning.
Brad Lidge closed it out for his 29th save in as many opportunities this
season by getting Kevin Kouzmanoff to line out to center and then retiring
both Adrian Gonzalez and Chase Headley on strikes.
Game Notes
Philadelphia leads the season series 3-1 and took four of seven matchups from
San Diego last season including three of four at PETCO. Overall, the Phillies
are 12-3 in their last 15 trips to San Diego...Maddux remains one win shy of
tying Roger Clemens for eighth on the all-time list with 354 wins while Moyer
moved into a tie for 51st place on the all-time wins list with 241, matching
Herb Pennock...Lidge has converted 32 consecutive save opportunities dating
back to last season.
<< Rivera's wild pitch hands KC victory, continues Yanks' slide
Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Esteban German had two doubles and scored twice,
including the go-ahead run in the ninth, to lead the Kansas City Royals in a
4-3 victory over the New York Yankees in the opener of a three-game set.
The Royal
<< Reds sign top pick Alonso
Cincinnati, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Cincinnati Reds signed their
first-round draft pick from 2008, first baseman Yonder Alonso, on Friday.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed.
Cincinnati had until midnight (et) Friday to
<< Giants sign top pick C Posey
Atlanta, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The San Francisco Giants have signed catcher
Buster Posey, the fifth overall selection in the 2008 First-Year Player Draft.
Per team policy, terms of the deal were not disclosed.
Posey was one of the best
<< Smoak on the water, Rangers sign first-round selection
Arlington, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Texas Rangers signed first baseman
Justin Smoak, the 11th overall pick in the 2008 draft, just prior to the
midnight (et) deadline on Friday. No financial terms were disclosed, per club
policy.
<< Sizzling del Potro reaches Legg Mason semis, Roddick falls
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Red-hot Argentine Juan Martin del Potro
was a quarterfinal winner Friday at the Legg Mason Tennis Classic, a U.S. Open
tune-up, while top-seeded Andy Roddick, the defending champion, was bounced
from th
Homer-happy A's get game-winner from Suzuki to stun Chicago >>
Oakland, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kurt Suzuki hit a game-winning, pinch-hit,
two-run home run in the ninth and Jack Cust added two homers himself, as the
Oakland Athletics edged the Chicago White Sox in dramatic fashion, 6-4, in the
opener
Billingsley, red-hot Dodgers win fifth straight >>
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chad Billingsley threw seven solid innings,
and Casey Blake hit a two-run home run, as the Los Angeles Dodgers topped
Milwaukee, 5-3, in the first of three games with the Brewers.
Billingsley (12-9) g
Pirates ink second overall pick Alvarez >>
Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pittsburgh Pirates agreed to terms
with third baseman Pedro Alvarez, the second overall selection in the 2008
June Draft, prior to Friday's midnight (et) signing deadline.
Alvarez batted .317
Hamburg rallies to draw Bayern in Bundesliga opener >>
Munich, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former Bayern Munich players Paolo Guerrero
and Piotr Trochowski each scored to help Hamburg rally from a two-goal deficit
against their old club in a 2-2 tie at Allianz Arena on Friday, spoiling Jurgen
Klin
Tottenham's Berbatov hands in transfer request >>
London, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tottenham striker Dimitar Berbatov is
reported to have handed in a transfer request in a bid to force through a move
to Manchester United.
The 27-year-old Bulgaria international is rumored to be
Terrell Owens could return for Cowboys next game
A bye week will allow Terrell Owens broken hand to recover just in time for the next game the Dallas Cowboys are slated to play, according to reports. MySportsbook.com, an football sportsbook, has posted football betting lines on TO playing.
Owens broke the bone leading to his right ring finger Sunday night and had a plate surgically attached to it Monday. Although Owens' hand was swollen and aching Wednesday, Dallas Cowboys coach Bill Parcells said he's optimistic the receiver will be back at work next week and catching passes a week from Sunday against the Tennessee Titans.
MySportsbook.com online sportsbook listed Terrell Owens with odds of 7-2 (or $7 paid out for every $2 bet) to return back for the game against Tennessee.
"I certainly wouldn't rule it out now," Parcells said, referring to Terrell Owens immediate return. "Maybe five days from now I might, but I wouldn't rule it out now. ... I know we're looking to try to get him moving around pretty good in the next day or so. So we'll see where we are."
Owens did not speak with reporters Wednesday, but said Sunday he'd be out two to four weeks. A return against the Titans would be 13 days after the surgery. The Cowboys were listed as an early -7 1/2 favorite vs. the Tennessee Titans for Week 4 at MySportsbook.com
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Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
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6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
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