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A Cyber Bookie

February, 19 2012


Texans' Green questionable for Sunday

Football Betting Lines

09/28/2007 - Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Houston Texans running back Ahman Green is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Atlanta Falcons because of a knee injury.

Green injured his left knee on September 16 against Carolina, then tried to play through the pain the following week against Indianapolis before leaving at the start of the second quarter.

An MRI taken on Monday revealed swelling in the knee and Green did not practice Wednesday, Thursday or Friday.

Wide receiver Andre Johnson is also nursing a knee injury and is listed as out on the team's injury report, along with fellow wideout Jacoby Jones, who is nursing a separated shoulder.


<< Chicago's Briggs questionable, Urlacher probable
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chicago Bears linebacker Lance Briggs did not participate in practice again Friday, and is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Detroit Lions. Briggs has been nursing a hamstring injury

<< Austin salvages Friday for Americans
Montreal, QC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Woody Austin fell in a lake trying to hit an impossible shot on the 14th hole Friday, but may have found something under the water. Austin birdied the last three holes to give him and partner David Toms a

<< Vikings' Jackson questionable for Green Bay game
Eden Prairie, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Minnesota Vikings quarterback Tarvaris Jackson had limited participation in Friday's practice with a groin injury. Jackson has taken limited snaps all week and if he is unable to play, Kelly Holcomb

<< Browns' Winslow questionable
Berea, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cleveland Browns starting tight end Kellen Winslow is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Baltimore Ravens because of a slight dislocation of his left shoulder. Winslow suffered the

<< Broncos' WR Walker questionable for Sunday
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Denver Broncos wide receiver Javon Walker is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Indianapolis Colts with a knee injury. Walker has some swelling in his surgically repaired right knee. He t

Steelers' Ward ruled out for Arizona game >>
Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Hines Ward has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Arizona Cardinals due to a sprained right knee. Ward suffered the injury in the third quarter of Pittsbur

Bills' Losman out with knee injury >>
Orchard Park, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Buffalo Bills starting quarterback J.P. Losman will not play Sunday against the New York Jets. Losman suffered a sprained left knee in the opening quarter of last week's 38-7 loss at New England.

Dolphins' Thomas questionable >>
Davie, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Miami Dolphins linebacker Zach Thomas is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Oakland Raiders as he is still feeling the effects of a concussion. Thomas took part in limited practice time al

Philly's Dawkins, Westbrook questionable for Giants game >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Philadelphia Eagles safety Brian Dawkins and running back Brian Westbrook both missed practice for the third straight day Friday and are listed as questionable for Sunday night's game against

Giants' Jacobs, Ward, Burress questionable >>
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - New York Giants wide receiver Plaxico Burress is listed as questionable for Sunday night's game against the Philadelphia Eagles. Burress has missed practice all week with a serious right

Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat 1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park. 6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning eight and walking three. game slide. Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went 1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ... read more


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NFL FOLDS EUROPEAN LEAGUE

The NFL folded its development league in Europe after 16 years Friday. The decision was made so the league could put a stronger international focus season games outside the United States. The announcement came less than a week after the Hamburg Sea Devils beat the 28 in the World Bowl championship in Frankfurt before a crowd of 48,125. Five of the league's six teams were based in Germany, while the other was in Amsterdam, Netherlands. season games outside the United States. The first such game is October 28 in London, England between the Miami Dolphins and the New York Giants. focus the NFL's strategy on initiatives with global impact, including worldwide media coverage of our sport and the staging of seas... more

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